Saturday, December 01, 2007

Harold Ford proposes a middle class flat tax


Former Congressman and Democratic Leadership Council Chairman Harold Ford has an excellent tax reform proposal to benefit middle and working class Americans. I have my differences with the DLC especially on economic issues but Ford's idea appears to be sound public policy and good politics. Ford is handing Democrats the kind of idea that wins elections.


Making his case for a middle class flat tax in a Washington Times column http://www.washingtontimes.com/ published on November 29, Ford states: "This is simple and fair: no middle-class family with an income of under $150,000 should ever pay an effective tax rate of more than 10 percent. If what they owe after calculating their taxes is more than 10 percent of their income, they won't have to pay a dime above 10 percent. If they owe less than 10 percent, they pay the lesser amount."


Ford writes:


We ended the last century with America's economic might at its zenith, with Americans at their most optimistic, and with nearly all who endeavored to make the most of their opportunities and talents getting ahead in life. John F. Kennedy's declaration that a rising tide will lift all boats was alive and well.


Middle-class Americans generate little or no national savings. We've had four straight years of rising productivity and falling incomes. Many Americans are earning less, while the costs of a middle-class life have soared: In the last five years, college costs are up 50 percent, health care up 73 percent, and gasoline more than 100 percent. Rising housing costs have driven people farther and farther from their work.


These trends undermine our way of life because middle-class strength and growth represent the backbone of American life.


Our national political discussion about how to grow the middle class often becomes just that, a political discussion punctuated by harsh talk of "class warfare." In fact, class warfare is under way — as billionaire Warren Buffet is fond of saying — and the middle is not winning.


To address the challenges of the middle class, Democrats should advance an agenda that aims to do something loftier than just repeal the Bush tax cuts on millionaires. It should boost incentives for average Americans to increase savings and investments, and help them participate more fully in the upside of economic growth.



As Ford argues for a middle class flat tax, many Republicans are promoting tax changes that would transfer more wealth to the super rich.


Writing in today's LA Times http://www.latimes.com/, columnist Michael Kinsley exposes the flaws in the so-called flat tax and fair tax proposals of Republican Presidential contenders Fred Thompson and Mike Huckabee. As Kinsley points out, middle and working class Americans would pay higher taxes as the rich get huge reductions in taxation under these GOP plans.


Kinsley writes:


The central gimmick of Fred Thompson's recently announced tax plan is to offer people a choice. They can pay taxes under the current rules -- with some juicy new breaks added from the big- and small-businesses wish lists -- or they can pay a so-called flat tax, with lower rates and fewer deductions. So anyone who wants a simpler tax code could have one. But for people who get a lot of deductions now, the simpler tax would be a higher tax. How many people, do you suppose, would choose simplicity over complexity, even if simplicity would cost them more? My bet: approximately zero.


Like most flat-tax advocates over the years, Thompson puts a thumb on the scale by combining flatness with a large tax cut. The Congressional Joint Committee on Taxation figures that Thompson's plan would fall a mere $2.5-trillion short of revenue over the next decade, compared with the current system. If you can borrow $2.5 trillion, it makes it easy to arrange for more people to see their taxes go down than up if they choose the flat-tax alternative.But this has nothing to do with simplifying the system.


If you don't care how much debt you run up, you can give everyone a tax cut without bothering about simplification. You can stop collecting tax at all! That would be nice and simple. The real strategy of Thompson's plan is a familiar one from past Republican tax plans: Give large breaks to business and the wealthy (such as abolishing the estate tax), bribe the middle class to go along by offering smaller breaks to them, and don't worry about paying for it all.


Mike Huckabee, currently enjoying his 15 minutes, makes a slightly different political mistake, which we might label, for lack of a better term, "total honesty." He has endorsed something called the Fair Tax proposal, which involves repealing all federal revenue sources -- the income tax, Social Security tax, estate tax, everything -- and replacing them with a 23% sales tax on everything except education.


The Fair Tax propaganda says it is intended to be "revenue neutral." That is, it would bring in just as much money as the taxes it replaces.This makes it easy to figure who would win and who would lose. It's a zero-sum game: Every dollar someone's taxes go down is a dollar someone else's go up. What you spend every year is the amount you earn minus the amount you save.


On average, Americans save practically nothing, but wealthier people save more. Very poor people actually spend more than they earn, while Bill Gates and Warren Buffett couldn't spend more than a small fraction of their income. So wealthy people are going to see their taxes go down, which means that poor and middle-class people are going to see their taxes go up.



Kinsley is right. Thompson and Huckabee are just selling us more "trickle down" snake oil ! We need tax policies that will help working families instead of more tax cuts for the rich. Harold Ford has given Democrats a winning issue with the middle class flat tax. Democratic candidates need to take this idea and run with it.

2 comments:

Anonymous said...

Obviously, you're a victim hooked on your abuser, theIRS. Although Mike Huckabee may be enjoying his "15 minutes," as you say, the FairTax has been around since 1998, has been introduced into every session of Congress since then, and at present, enjoys the largest co-sponsorship of any tax reform bill in Congress - EVER! It has taken this long to break into the public's conscientiousness. And Huckabee's knowledgeable, skillful, and ardent advocacy may very well succeed in bringing an end to "wage-earner tax slavery" every working hour.

Huckabee is all about calling his listeners to "do something," to awaken them to their own empowerment, and summon them to action in order that "Main Street," and not "Wall Street," will prevail in guarding the values and beliefs upon which the Republic was founded.

Huckabee puts his listeners at ease, and reassures them, articulating clear concepts in a natural, easy style (no doubt something well-cultivated as a pastor). He’s not as “mechanically-scripted” as Romney, nor angry or demanding, like a Ron Paul, and his large brown eyes, peering through a humble demeanor, draw a striking contrast to a unconvincing, tired-looking Thompson. One can easily imagine sitting comfortably with Mike over a cup of coffee at the Main Street Cafe.

Most importantly, perhaps, Huckabee is ONE with the FairTax grassroots movement. While many - like Romney, and others, who are invested in the current income tax system - seek to demagog the well-researched FairTax plan, its acceptance in the professional / academic community continues to grow. Renown economist Laurence Kotlikoff believes that failure to enact the FairTax - choosing instead to try to "flatten" what he deems to be a non-flattenable income tax system - will eventuate into an irrevocable economic meltdown because of the hidden aspects of the current system that make political accountability impossible.

Romney's recent WEAK response to FairTax questioning on “This Week with Geo. Stephanopoulos” drew a sharper contrast between Huckabee and all other presidential front-runners who will not embrace it. Huckabee understands that what's wrong with the income tax can't be fixed with "a tap of the hammer, nor a twist of the screwdriver." That his opponents cling to the destructive Tax Code, the IRS, preserving political power of granting tax favors at continued cost to - and misery of - American families, invigorates his campaign's raison d'etre.

Of the FairTax, Huckabee asserts that it's...

• SIMPLE, easy to understand
• EFFICIENT, inexpensive to comply with and doesn't cause less-than-optimal business decisions for tax minimization purposes
• FAIR, FLAT, and FAMILY FRIENDLY, loophole-free, and everyone pays their share
• LOW TAX RATE is achieved by broad base with no exclusions
• PREDICTABLE, doesn't change, so financial planning is possible
• UNINTRUSIVE, doesn't intrude into our personal affairs or limit our liberty
• VISIBLE, not hidden from the public in tax-inflated prices or otherwise
• PRODUCTIVE, rewards - rather than penalizes - work and productivity


A detailed benefits analysis of the plan (from The FairTax Book) explains Huckabee's ardent advocacy:

For individuals:
• No more tax on income - make as much as you wish
• You receive your full paycheck - no more deductions
• You pay the tax when you buy "at retail" - not "used"
• No more double taxation (e.g. like on current Capital Gains)
• Reduction of "pre-FairTaxed" retail prices by 20%-30%
• Adding back 29.9% FairTax maintains current price levels
• FairTax would constitute 23% portion of new prices
• Every household receives a monthly check, or "pre-bate"
• "Prebate" is "advance tax payback" for monthly consumption to poverty level
• FairTax's "prebate" ensures progressivity, poverty protection
Finally, citizens are knowledgeable of what their tax IS
• Elimination of "parasitic" Income Tax industry
• NO MORE IRS. NO MORE FILING OF TAX RETURNS by individuals
• Those possessing illicit forms of income will ALSO pay the FairTax
• Households have more disposable income to purchase goods
• Savings is bolstered with reduction of interest rates


For businesses:
• Corporate income and payroll taxes revoked under FairTax
• Business compensated for collecting tax at "cash register"
• No more tax-related lawyers, lobbyists on company payrolls
No more embedded (hidden) income/payroll taxes in prices
• Reduced costs. Competition - not tax policy - drives prices
• Off-shore "tax haven" headquarters can now return to U.S
No more "favors" from politicians at expense of taxpayers
• Resources go to R&D and study of competition - not taxes
• Global "free (and equitable) trade" becomes possible for currently-disadvanted U.S. exports
• U.S. exports increase their share of foreign markets


For the country:
• 7% - 13% economic growth projected in the first year of the FairTax
Jobs return to the U.S.
• Foreign corporations "set up shop" in the U.S.
• Tax system trends are corrected to "enlarge the pie"
• Larger economic "pie," means thinner tax rate "slices"
• Initial 23% portion of price is pressured downward as "pie" increases
No more "closed door" tax deals by politicians and business
• FairTax sets new global standard. Other countries will follow


Passionately supporting FairTax, Huckabee understands that, if elected President, Congress will have to present the bill for his signature. His call to action goes beyond his candidacy: Main Street will have to demand that their legislators deliver the bill.

(Permission is granted to reproduce, in whole or part. - Ian)

Anonymous said...

About the last comment referring to Mike Huckabee, how can someone who is portrayed to be a "Compassionate Conservative on Steroids" be supporting a bill that will eliminate the Family, Tuition, and ADOPTION Tax credits while the wealthy will evade the new tax by finding ways to import things from tax-free areas overseas and smuggle them back here after they buy their ultraluxary playthings and second mansions in Monaco? The "Fair" Tax credit sounds like a new mechanism to enforce class lines by making middle class FAMILIES bear even more of the tax burden than right now. To think that I even thought that Mike might be better than Bush Jr., what a disappointment! A good portion of the tax code is to create a "progressive tax" (as opposed to this regressive and draconian solution) that encourages better spending for social, environmental, and unfortunately sometimes other not so worthy issues. Sometimes the best fix is not the easiest fix. The IRS needs to be reformed, not replaced. Now I will have to do more research on Edwards before the primary here. I wish more people would get the blinders off their eyes and look beyond the next "compassionate conservative" GOP catch phrases in that unholy money grubber-Christian alliance.

If money is the root of all evil, then these underlying goals of the GOP to elevate their corporate constituent’s profits, in a way never seen before in our lifetimes, will produce more evil than allowing abortions to remain legal for desperate woman who would probably find a way to have an abortion anyway.

By the way US exports are no longer disadvantaged because of the weak dollar due to eight years of bad policy on many fronts. Things like this tend to change over time depending on who is in office.