Saturday, January 28, 2006

Gay marriage: a train wreck ahead for Democrats ?

I realize that many Democratic progressives (and even some centrists) think that gay marriage will be no big deal as a issue. In my view, that is dangerous wishful thinking. Gay marriage is a train wreck about to happen for Democrats which could not only alienate swing voters from our party but also split traditionally Democratic constituencies apart. Polls have indicated the vast majority of African American, Hispanic and working class white voters oppose same sex unions. The Republican-oriented Powerline blog http://tinyurl.com/9hjvf is already gloating about a Baltimore Circuit Court ruling striking down Maryland's law banning same sex marriage. Many political strategists expect that the prospect of gay marriage in Maryland will boost the re-election chances of incumbent GOP Governor Robert Ehrlich and the Senatorial candidacy of Lt. Governor Michael Steele this November.

The Washington Post reported on Wednesday http://tinyurl.com/a77s7 that Democrats in the Maryland Legislature are attempting to craft a legislative plan that would stall a state court ruling on the gay marriage law until after the November election. Unfortunately, many of these same Legislators support the concept of gay marriage and only want to delay a possible overturn of same sex union prohibitions until after the 2006 election. Democratic Party leaders in New York and California have embraced same sex marriage and both states are basically a Governor away from legal recognition of same sex unions. Gay marriage would be a reality in California if it were not for the veto pen of the Republican Governor Arnold Schwarznegger.

I support equal rights for gays and lesbians in employment and housing and certainly favor vigorous prosecution of violent crimes directed against that community. I also have no problem whatsoever with local ordinances which would allow same sex partners to register their partnerships to provide documentation for hospital visitation and insurance purposes as many corporations today provide benefits for the same sex partners of employees. But gay marriage and civil unions with the equivalent benefits of marriage (i.e., tax benefits) is simply going too far. We need to be focused on the stability of traditional families and strengthen the insitution of marriage - ending no-fault divorce laws which are so destructive to children and the family unit would be a step in the right direction.

Support for gay marriage by Democrats is political suicide in Middle America. The gay marriage battles which are being waged now in the courts and state legislatures will come to the forefront just in time for the 2008 election. To become a majority party again, Democratic elected officials and candidates would be well advised to start distancing themselves from the gay marriage debacle.

2 comments:

Michael Reynolds said...

Support for civil rights was a train wreck for the Democratic party. We still haven't gotten past the fall-out.

But ask yourself this: if this was 1963 and you had this blog, and had reached the correct conclusion (as LBJ did) that civil rights would destroy the Dems in the south, would you be writing this same post? Would you have advised selling out negroes for political advantage?

I love the political gamesmanship, I really do. On my own blog I freely offer centrist political advice to Dems. But on this issue I feel we have a cchoice: are we standing in the school house door with George Wallace, or are we marching with Dr. King.

I think this issue is near a tipping point. I think 20 years from now gays will have full rights. And I think I'd be ashamed of myself if I had to tell my kids that I stood on the wrong side.

DL Foster said...

Black lawmakers, in particular Democrats, are in serious conflict (reg required)over the passage of homosexual marriage in Maryland. This is good news, but serious. Good because unlike here in Georgia at the onset of our marriage wars, the black caucus was firmly behind gay marriage. This initial dissenting we are seeing in Maryland is a good indicator that homosexual groups do not have all black legislators in their back pockets.

Right Democrat has some interesting inhouse views on Democrats at large and gay marriage.
(great post, I could ping it)